Scrupuli
blunt essays with sharp points
Google Chrome On Track To Overtake Firefox
by ScrvpvlvsJan 12, 2011 5:36 PM–Chrome could overtake Firefox in about one year.
The browser race is continuing to follow same trend that I discussed here eight months ago.
| Browser | Trend | 2010 Market Share | 2011 Market Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internet Explorer | in the lead, but losing ¾ to 1 percent of its market share every month. | Down from 6 in 10 users in April to 5.7 in December. | Close to 5 in 10 by year’s end. |
| Firefox | in second place, but maybe doing something more alarming than IE—braking: June 2008 growth was 3 percent per month, May 2009 was 2%, April 2010 was 1%, second half of 2010 was zero. | Down from 2.5 in 10 users in April to 2.3 in December. | Close to 2 in 10 by year’s end. |
| Chrome | in third place, still the fastest growing; gained 11–12 percent per month through April; decelerated beginning in May to what looks like a new plateau of 8%. | Up from 0.7 in 10 users in April to 1 in December. | Close to 2 in 10 by year’s end. |
Based on the trend, Chrome could be tied with Firefox for second place by the end of the year. But will it? One fact in favor is the upcoming release of Chrome OS devices in 2011.
Updated numbers and charts here. And notice in the charts: Internet Explorer has a solstice spike in July 2008, May/June 2009, and May/June/July 2010. Is this a yearly pattern? Maybe graduates entering the workplace and being issued PCs with preinstalled IE? Readers, any thoughts? Should I predict a solstice spike in the IE market share in 2011?
As before, historical data provided by Net Applications. “Top Browser Share Trend”, Net Market Share, http://netmarketshare.com/browser-market-share.aspx?qprid=1&qptimeframe=M&qpsp=112&qpnp=25 (accessed January 12, 2011).
Labels: Alex Chitu, browser, Chrome, Chrome OS, firefox, Google, Google Chrome, Google Operating System, growth, Internet, Internet Explorer, market share, Microsoft, Mozilla, Net Applications, Net Market Share
(go to complete article)
Share:
Chrome Heats Up Faster Than Firefox
by ScrvpvlvsMay 20, 2010 8:00 AM–Update January 12, 2011: New article with updated statistics for the rest of 2010 here.
Alex Chitu has published a chart showing 70 million active Google Chrome users in April 2010, up from 30 million July 2009.¹ Alex compares Chrome to Mozilla Firefox, saying, “Firefox grew from 265 million users to 365 million users in the same period. To put things in perspective, Firefox has 5 times more users than Google Chrome.”
I wondered how much of the growth of Firefox is just due to the growth of Internet use overall. To find out, I developed the three charts below (historical data provided by Net Applications).²
The first chart shows that Firefox growth (red) only kept pace with overall growth. About 1 in 4 browsers were Firefox in April 2010, about the same as in July 2009. By contrast, Chrome growth (navy) outpaced total growth. About 1 in 15 browsers were Chrome in April 2010, compared to only 1 in 39 in July 2009.
The second chart shows that Firefox market share growth (red) was 3% per month two years ago, and the current growth is 1% per month. By striking contrast, Chrome (navy) has sustained a growth rate of 11–12% per month since it was released.
If this trend continues, Chrome will have more users than Firefox in about one year. This is shown in the third chart, which compares projected future performance of Chrome (navy), Firefox (red), and Internet Explorer (blue). Obviously, though (as businesses love to remind investors), past results are no guarantee of future performance.
The chart data are available here. Please let me know about any errors.
1. Alex Chitu, “Google Chrome Has 70 Million Active Users,” Google Operating System, http://googlesystem.blogspot.com/2010/05/google-chrome-has-70-million-active.html (accessed May 20, 2010).
2. Net Applications, “Top Browser Share Trend”, Net Market Share, http://netmarketshare.com/browser-market-share.aspx?qprid=1&qptimeframe=M&qpsp=112&qpnp=25 (accessed May 20, 2010).
Labels: Alex Chitu, browser, Chrome, firefox, Google, Google Operating System, growth, Internet, Internet Explorer, market share, Microsoft, Mozilla, Net Applications, Net Market Share
(go to complete article)
Share:
about.me
Follow
vs.
Recent Articles
Open letter re: Grinnell College alumni “lifetime”...
Spybot – Search & Destroy interferes with Lync 201...
Howard Schultz of Starbucks: firm on support for m...
In each of us, two natures are at war
Clorox does not understand how to measure bleach
Archives
November 1999June 2000
July 2000
September 2001
October 2001
February 2002
March 2002
June 2003
February 2004
June 2004
July 2004
August 2004
September 2004
February 2005
March 2005
November 2005
July 2007
March 2008
April 2008
May 2008
October 2008
November 2008
December 2008
January 2009
April 2009
September 2009
December 2009
February 2010
March 2010
May 2010
June 2010
September 2010
October 2010
November 2010
December 2010
January 2011
April 2011
June 2011
July 2011
August 2011
September 2011
December 2011
February 2012
April 2012
May 2012
June 2012
July 2012
August 2012
September 2012
November 2012
January 2013
February 2013
April 2013
February 2014
May 2014
October 2014
June 2017
February 2019
Finish each day and be done with it. You have done what you could. Tomorrow is a new day; begin it well and serenely and with too high a spirit to be encumbered with your old nonsense. —Ralph Waldo Emerson
Sometimes they fool you by walking upright.
What part of “Ph’nglui mglw’nafh Cthulhu R’lyeh wgah’nagl fhtagn” don’t you understand?
Build a man a fire, and he’ll be warm for a day. Set a man on fire, and he’ll be warm for the rest of his life. —Terry Pratchett
Never try to teach a pig to sing; it wastes your time and it annoys the pig. —Robert Heinlein
Do not ask why the past was better than the present, for this is not a question prompted by wisdom. —Ecclesiastes 7:10
Power lines abruptly stopped causing cancer in 1997 after the U.S. National Cancer Institute conducted a better study. —Robert Parks
Встретимся под столом! (Vstretimsja pod stolom: To meeting you under the table!)
The more you cry, the less you’ll pee.
Relish the love of a good woman.
It’ll never get better if you keep picking at it. —advice from Judge “Maximum” Bob Gibbs