Scrupuli
blunt essays with sharp points
Chrome Heats Up Faster Than Firefox
by ScrvpvlvsMay 20, 2010 8:00 AM–Update January 12, 2011: New article with updated statistics for the rest of 2010 here.
Alex Chitu has published a chart showing 70 million active Google Chrome users in April 2010, up from 30 million July 2009.¹ Alex compares Chrome to Mozilla Firefox, saying, “Firefox grew from 265 million users to 365 million users in the same period. To put things in perspective, Firefox has 5 times more users than Google Chrome.”
I wondered how much of the growth of Firefox is just due to the growth of Internet use overall. To find out, I developed the three charts below (historical data provided by Net Applications).²
The first chart shows that Firefox growth (red) only kept pace with overall growth. About 1 in 4 browsers were Firefox in April 2010, about the same as in July 2009. By contrast, Chrome growth (navy) outpaced total growth. About 1 in 15 browsers were Chrome in April 2010, compared to only 1 in 39 in July 2009.
The second chart shows that Firefox market share growth (red) was 3% per month two years ago, and the current growth is 1% per month. By striking contrast, Chrome (navy) has sustained a growth rate of 11–12% per month since it was released.
If this trend continues, Chrome will have more users than Firefox in about one year. This is shown in the third chart, which compares projected future performance of Chrome (navy), Firefox (red), and Internet Explorer (blue). Obviously, though (as businesses love to remind investors), past results are no guarantee of future performance.
The chart data are available here. Please let me know about any errors.
1. Alex Chitu, “Google Chrome Has 70 Million Active Users,” Google Operating System, http://googlesystem.blogspot.com/2010/05/google-chrome-has-70-million-active.html (accessed May 20, 2010).
2. Net Applications, “Top Browser Share Trend”, Net Market Share, http://netmarketshare.com/browser-market-share.aspx?qprid=1&qptimeframe=M&qpsp=112&qpnp=25 (accessed May 20, 2010).
Labels: Alex Chitu, browser, Chrome, firefox, Google, Google Operating System, growth, Internet, Internet Explorer, market share, Microsoft, Mozilla, Net Applications, Net Market Share
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2 Comments:
by 
Gtricks
May 31, 2010 11:41 AM–I couldnt interpret first chart. What does it mean?
by 
Scrvpvlvs
June 01, 2010 7:31 PM–In the first chart, I compare the popularity of major browsers each month from May 2008 to April 2010. The months are on the horizontal axis, and the popularity is on the vertical. I expressed popularity as a percentage.
For example, above April 2010, you can read the chart as: "Of every 100 users sampled in April 2010, 60 used Internet Explorer, 25 used Firefox, 7 used Chrome, 5 used Safari, and 3 used Opera or Opera Mini."
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