blunt essays with sharp points
May 20, 2010 8:00 AM–Update January 12, 2011: New article with updated statistics for the rest of 2010 here.
Alex Chitu has published a chart showing 70 million active Google Chrome users in April 2010, up from 30 million July 2009.¹ Alex compares Chrome to Mozilla Firefox, saying, “Firefox grew from 265 million users to 365 million users in the same period. To put things in perspective, Firefox has 5 times more users than Google Chrome.”
I wondered how much of the growth of Firefox is just due to the growth of Internet use overall. To find out, I developed the three charts below (historical data provided by Net Applications).²
The first chart shows that Firefox growth (red) only kept pace with overall growth. About 1 in 4 browsers were Firefox in April 2010, about the same as in July 2009. By contrast, Chrome growth (navy) outpaced total growth. About 1 in 15 browsers were Chrome in April 2010, compared to only 1 in 39 in July 2009.
The second chart shows that Firefox market share growth (red) was 3% per month two years ago, and the current growth is 1% per month. By striking contrast, Chrome (navy) has sustained a growth rate of 11–12% per month since it was released.
If this trend continues, Chrome will have more users than Firefox in about one year. This is shown in the third chart, which compares projected future performance of Chrome (navy), Firefox (red), and Internet Explorer (blue). Obviously, though (as businesses love to remind investors), past results are no guarantee of future performance.
The chart data are available here. Please let me know about any errors.
June 01, 2010 7:31 PM–In the first chart, I compare the popularity of major browsers each month from May 2008 to April 2010. The months are on the horizontal axis, and the popularity is on the vertical. I expressed popularity as a percentage.
For example, above April 2010, you can read the chart as: "Of every 100 users sampled in April 2010, 60 used Internet Explorer, 25 used Firefox, 7 used Chrome, 5 used Safari, and 3 used Opera or Opera Mini."
Finish each day and be done with it. You have done what you could. Tomorrow is a new day; begin it well and serenely and with too high a spirit to be encumbered with your old nonsense. —Ralph Waldo Emerson
Sometimes they fool you by walking upright.
What part of “Ph’nglui mglw’nafh Cthulhu R’lyeh wgah’nagl fhtagn” don’t you understand?
Build a man a fire, and he’ll be warm for a day. Set a man on fire, and he’ll be warm for the rest of his life. —Terry Pratchett
Never try to teach a pig to sing; it wastes your time and it annoys the pig. —Robert Heinlein
Do not ask why the past was better than the present, for this is not a question prompted by wisdom. —Ecclesiastes 7:10
Power lines abruptly stopped causing cancer in 1997 after the U.S. National Cancer Institute conducted a better study. —Robert Parks
Встретимся под столом! (Vstretimsja pod stolom: To meeting you under the table!)
The more you cry, the less you’ll pee.
Relish the love of a good woman.
It’ll never get better if you keep picking at it. —advice from Judge “Maximum” Bob Gibbs